Pros and Cons

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Our world is now under the threat of over-population


ForAgainst

  
the world still has a huge area with few or no people
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the wilderness is unsuitable for humans to live in
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global warming will make the taiga and tundra more suitable for habitation
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global warming will make the deserts grow, so there will be less inhabitable land
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  • there is more taiga and tundra than desert, so overall global warming will make more land available for living 

  
human population has passed the numerical point where all can live in comfort
ForAgainst

  
the earth may support 6 billion people, but only on the condition that many live in misery
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technology increases the carrying capacity of the land
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  • technology does not increase the carrying capacity of the land enough 

  
increasing terrorist attacks signify instability, suggesting that the world is too over-populated for peaceful living
ForAgainst
  • the percentage of the world population killed in war is going down 

  
world's food production has peaked in some of the very regions where food is needed the most
ForAgainst
  • about half of the land in South Asia is too degraded for food production anymore
  • there has been a 27% irrecoverable loss of arable land in China, and such loss will continue at the rate of 2,500 sq. km per yea 
     

  
worldwide poverty is declining
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  • The percentage of the world's population living on less than $1 per day has halved in twenty years 
     

  
the growth of population will soon exceed food production in the future
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human population is a naturally explosive independent variable
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every time food production is intensified to feed a growing population, the population responds by increasing even more
ForAgainst
  • populations of hunters fluctuate according to the amount of available food and are much smaller than those who practice agriculture
  • example: population growth began with the Neolithic Revolution, followed by subsequent agricultural revolutions 
     

  
human population varies as other animals do in accordance with the resources available, i.e. it grows in time of abundance, and
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  • birth rates are lowest in a developed country, which also has the highest access to food 

  
problem of starvation can be solved through a change of human diet
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food availability would increase if protein sources like soybeans are more widely consumed than meat is
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meat production is very energy inefficient
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  • meat producers cut energy consumption as much as possible to cut production costs 

  
this idea is totally unrealistic
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this would require enough people giving up meat for soy and other plant based protein
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  • it would only require people to reduce their intake of meat, not give it up altogether 

  
food production can be efficiently increased through the advancement of technology and management
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with new technologies, it is now possible to grow crops on some non-arable land under certain conditions
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  • aquaculture could theoretically dramatically increase available area 
     

  
Hydroponics in autonomous building gardens and greenhouses grow more food in less space
ForAgainst
  • Hydroponics and food from bacteria and fungi allow the growing of food without having to consider land quality and weather 
     

  
Population growth is slowing down or even experiencing a setback
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Birth-control is more popular and efficient nowadays
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the "baby boom" of the 1950s was an aberration unlikely to be repeated
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population decline in an urbanized society is by nature hard to prevent
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sizes of family and the standard of living, life expectancy go in different direction
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societies experience demographic transition once urbanization has been accomplished to a certain point
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in wealthy societies, people prefer later ages for marriage
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decreased need of children in industrialized settings
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children are an economic liability in wealthy countries
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children perform a great deal of work in small-scale agricultural societies, and work less in industrial ones
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  • the work of children in industrialised countries after they finish education is more valuable 

  
food production is declining
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  • food production per person increased from 1961 to 2004
  • improved agricultural techniques make the remaining land more productive 

  
less arable land becomes available
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global warming makes less land suitable for agriculture
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  • land previously too cold for agriculture may now become productive 

  
future shortages in fossil fuels, which is currently used for fertilizer and transportation for modern agriculture, is likely to
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there will be enough fossil fuels until suitable replacement technologies have been developed
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  • for example, hydrogen, hydro-electricity 
     

  
population grows in an exponential rate, while resources tend to grow linearly
ForAgainst
  • population also falls at an exponential rate when population change is below the replacement rate
  • The historical US population growth was more linear than exponential 

  
the growth of population constitutes a geometric progression
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"the power of population is indefinitely greater than the power in the earth to produce subsistence for man"
ForAgainst
  • Malthus's second postulatum: + the passion between two sexes is necessary
  • Malthus's first postulatum: food is necessary to mankind 
     

  
food production has grown faster than population on a global scale
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the sustainability of population growth is temporary, it will finally lead to a decrease in the carrying capacity of the earth
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  • there are enormous changes impacting earth's ability to function as a suitable habitat for human beings 
     

  
only some countries are threatened by over-population, not all of the world
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over-population is a global issue
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over-population causes global warming, and is therefore a global issue
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  • global warming is caused by a minority of polluters, who do not live in the over-populated countries 

  
over-population threatens the ecology of the planet through over-use of resources
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  • Claiming that population growth is largely responsible for the ecological crisis means blaming the poor for the excesses of the rich