Points:
China can replace the US as the world's leading country in the next 10 years - but: China's Population: the Increasing Proportion of Elderly People (www.unchina.org)
 - because: China will have to deal with several problems as a result of the rapidly increasing population. This will impose a negative impact on the economy development!! (www.chinadaily.com.cn)
 - but: US population is increasing by 0.92 percent a year by China's population is just expanding at a 0.58 percent rate
- because: Undoubtedly,there is negative impact.however,should we also consider the benefits brought by the high population?
- because: So we talk about the jobs that need a lot of labours like factory ?
- but: Chinese people are poor: 47% of population live with an income of less than $2 in a research in 2005 (World Bank (2005) p.22-24)
 - because: The income gaps in China between the rural and urban areas are expanding, this will affect the reform process if not treated properly. (China In The Twenty-First Century p.87)
- but: The income gaps is the essential process of China Develop. Just like DENG Xiaoping's description, let some people be rich first.
- because: some people which become rich first can help push the economic development by spending money
- but: The situation in China that the extreme disparity between the rich and the poor is still serious.
- but: Chinese GDP growth rate falls.And the educational system of China still reserve some shortcomings which can hinder all-round development of students.
- but: The development of Chinese economy has really made the other countries feel threatened, but in technological innovation is well worth the effort.
- but: There is a good chance that the economic level of China will over-advantage that of America whereas the humanistic quality cannot keep up.
- but: Here are the sources that discussing what problems china is facing (bbs.chinadaily.com.cn)
- because: In this topic which wordings should we focus on and why?
- because: I think we should focus on the word 10 years, is it possible to replace US in just a short period
- because: China become a indispensble trading nation in the world.Both export and import ratios are rapidly expanded in China.
- because: any data?
- because: There is almost a half of increase in trade to GPD ratio betwwen 1995 to 2005,from 39% to 64%.It is believed that the increasing will be continued.
- because: How do you define "world's leading country"?
- because: I define it as the world's most powerful either in economic or army ,that casuse other country to follow
- but: but as the world is not an single empire, what cause other countries to follow?
- but: Like US , they are now called the 'World Police' ,which mean that their army's power is recognized
- because: the country that control the trend of the world
- because: What's the meaning of control the trend?what trend ?
- because: USA has a well developed and strong economic system which play a leading and dominant role in the world's economy.
- but: How strong and how developed ?You think that China don't have ?
- because: Olympic game 2008 shows that China becoming more and more powerful
- because: the olympic games help china to expose to the world
- but: But after the olympic games will it grow as fast as now ?
- because: But also introduce another negative side of China to the world. eg, faked food, pollution problem.....
- but: But these problems have exist a long long time ago.
- because: The "Olympic factor" refers to the impetus generated by 134.86 billion yuan (US$16.7 billion) in direct investment for hosting the Games (asia.news.yahoo.com)
- because: But will China continue to grow in economic after the Olympic games
- because: Beijing can expect its gross domestic product (GDP), after stripping out inflation, to grow at 9.8 per cent a year leading to 2008 (asia.news.yahoo.com)
- but: China's economy is moving ahead of Japan as the world's second largest economy,but might not overtake the US until around 2030. (english.pravda.ru)
 - because: The economy of China is the second largest in the world after the US with a GDP of $10.21 trillion (2006) when measured on a (PPP) basis. (Wikipedia (2019))
- because: After leading in economic only can we call china a leading country ?
- because: I think we can not do this as China only lead in one part only.
- because: China poised to overtake US in 2020s (www.chinadaily.com.cn)
- but: So many local government officials accept bribe.The local governments are corrupt.Corruption stands in the way of the development of society.
- but: why not 2018?
- because: It is expected for China to overtake the USA only in the second half of the 21st Century (www.onlineopinion.com.au)
- because: Do you have any data?
- because: China's GPD would have been roughly five trillion dollars in 2005,compared to some 12 trillion for the United States on the same basis
- because: Cite the source please
- because: Same as the topic one http://english.pravda.ru/business/finance/15-11-2007/100952-china_economy%20-0
- but: China has been the fastest-growing major nation for the past quarter of a century with an average annual GDP growth rate above 10%. (Wikipedia (2019))
 - but: GDP does not mean everything. Actually, we may focus so much on present GDP that we ignore problems including the environment problem, human right problem
 - but: so, will it be possible to help china overcome us in 10years?
- but: I don't think so.The GPD grow rate of US should also be consider.
- because: China is the fourth largest in the world after the US, Japan and Germany, with a nominal GDP of US$3.42 trillion (2007) when measured in exchange-rate terms (Wikipedia (2019))
 - but: So will it be possible for China's GPD to grow to the largest in 10 years ?
 - but: for the economy,there are many statistics and numbers should be concerned.
- because: Some area,for example in merchandise trade,China has already replace the third position of Japan,following the US and Germany
| 157 hits by logged in students since 30 Oct 2008
|